Luton Town vs Blackburn Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
51.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
LUT
1 - 0
QPR
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
LUT
0 - 2
BAR
68%
19%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
WBA
3 - 2
LUT
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
QPR
2 - 2
LUT
37%
25%
39%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
LUT
0 - 0
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
WAT
2 - 1
BBU
25%
27%
48%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
MAC
0 - 3
BBU
38%
28%
35%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
BBU
0 - 2
ARS
25%
26%
49%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
EVE
1 - 4
BBU
43%
28%
29%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
WIG
0 - 3
BBU
34%
28%
38%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |