Lusitanos vs Principat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LUS
6 - 0
INT
84%
11%
5%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
INT
0 - 1
LUS
9%
15%
76%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 0
SCO
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SJU
1 - 2
LUS
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FCR
2 - 5
LUS
24%
23%
53%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Principat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SJU
6 - 1
PRI
87%
9%
4%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PRI
0 - 3
SJU
8%
14%
78%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
FCS
0 - 7
PRI
36%
23%
41%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PRI
2 - 0
INT
64%
19%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SCO
3 - 2
PRI
80%
14%
7%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |