Lusitano FCV vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 4
SCP
5%
12%
83%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 5
LUS
21%
25%
53%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LUS
0 - 0
LUS
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
LUS
16%
25%
60%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
LUS
3 - 0
LEC
89%
8%
2%
|
47 | 17 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CES
2 - 2
RDA
55%
24%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
CES
48%
25%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
CES
0 - 1
UNM
18%
25%
57%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CES
2 - 0
SPO
90%
8%
3%
|
43 | 13 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
GON
1 - 1
CES
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |