Lusitânia vs Pampilhosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ADN
3 - 1
LUS
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 2
ESP
22%
25%
54%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LUS
5 - 0
OPE
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +5 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 0
COI
37%
25%
39%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CES
1 - 2
LUS
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pampilhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PAM
1 - 0
OPE
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CES
0 - 0
PAM
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PAM
5 - 0
ANA
50%
23%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 2
PAM
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PAM
1 - 3
ACV
27%
26%
48%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |