Lusitânia vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LUS
5 - 0
OPE
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 0
COI
37%
25%
39%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CES
1 - 2
LUS
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 2
ANA
28%
24%
48%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
LUS
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CIN
3 - 0
ESP
31%
27%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 2
OPE
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
TOU
0 - 1
ESP
20%
24%
56%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
CES
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BUS
1 - 1
ESP
16%
23%
61%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | -1 |