Lusitânia vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
10º
10º
33
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 1
BEL
26%
27%
48%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
1DE
3 - 0
LUS
35%
27%
39%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 2
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 1
1DE
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 4
CAL
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 0
SCP
44%
26%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 0
ATL
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
USA
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
1DE
2 - 1
ATL
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 2
ATL
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |