Liga Portuguesa Sub 19 II Subida Norte round 8

Lusitania FC U19 vs Moreirense U19 analysis

Lusitania FC U19 Moreirense U19
35 ELO 43
-13.4% Tilt 3.4%
7598º General ELO ranking 6333º
178º Country ELO ranking 140º
ELO win probability
32.3%
Lusitania FC U19
25.9%
Draw
41.8%
Moreirense U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
 Lusitania FC U19
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.8%
Win probability
Moreirense U19
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lusitania FC U19
-15%
+149%
Moreirense U19

ELO progression

 Lusitania FC U19
Moreirense U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lusitania FC U19
 Lusitania FC U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2025
LUS
 Lusitania FC U19
1 - 3
Vizela U19
VIZ
15%
21%
64%
37 51 14 0
05 Apr. 2025
PAÇ
Paços de Ferreira U19
2 - 1
 Lusitania FC U19
LUS
70%
17%
13%
37 47 10 0
29 Mar. 2025
LUS
 Lusitania FC U19
1 - 1
Gouveia U19
GOU
52%
23%
25%
37 33 4 0
22 Mar. 2025
MAC
Machico U19
0 - 3
 Lusitania FC U19
LUS
9%
14%
78%
37 9 28 0
08 Mar. 2025
MOR
Moreirense U19
2 - 1
 Lusitania FC U19
LUS
50%
21%
29%
38 41 3 -1

Matches

Moreirense U19
Moreirense U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2025
MOR
Moreirense U19
3 - 1
Paços de Ferreira U19
PAÇ
33%
25%
43%
40 47 7 0
12 Apr. 2025
GOU
Gouveia U19
1 - 0
Moreirense U19
MOR
34%
22%
45%
41 34 7 -1
05 Apr. 2025
MOR
Moreirense U19
1 - 3
Vizela U19
VIZ
31%
25%
45%
42 50 8 -1
30 Mar. 2025
MAC
Machico U19
0 - 5
Moreirense U19
MOR
9%
15%
76%
41 8 33 +1
08 Mar. 2025
MOR
Moreirense U19
2 - 1
 Lusitania FC U19
LUS
50%
21%
29%
41 38 3 0