Northern Ireland Second Division Normal Season Round 4

Lurgan Celtic vs PSNI analysis

Lurgan Celtic PSNI
51 ELO 55
17.7% Tilt 13.6%
31244º General ELO ranking 31390º
61º Country ELO ranking 63º
ELO win probability
36.5%
Lurgan Celtic
25.5%
Draw
38%
PSNI

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
Lurgan Celtic
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38%
Win probability
PSNI
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Lurgan Celtic
PSNI
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lurgan Celtic
Lurgan Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2017
WAR
Warrenpoint Town
4 - 1
Lurgan Celtic
LCE
68%
18%
14%
49 61 12 0
25 Aug. 2017
LIM
Limavady
2 - 3
Lurgan Celtic
LCE
63%
20%
17%
48 55 7 +1
19 Aug. 2017
INS
Institute
1 - 1
Lurgan Celtic
LCE
56%
24%
21%
48 56 8 0
12 Aug. 2017
LCE
Lurgan Celtic
2 - 1
Newry City
NEW
35%
24%
41%
47 53 6 +1
05 Aug. 2017
SYL
Sport & Leisure
0 - 1
Lurgan Celtic
LCE
38%
24%
38%
46 43 3 +1

Matches

PSNI
PSNI
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2017
LIM
Limavady
0 - 1
PSNI
PSN
47%
24%
30%
55 54 1 0
26 Aug. 2017
PSN
PSNI
1 - 1
Portadown
POR
55%
23%
22%
55 52 3 0
19 Aug. 2017
NEW
Newry City
1 - 2
PSNI
PSN
46%
25%
29%
54 52 2 +1
12 Aug. 2017
PSN
PSNI
0 - 0
Knockbreda
KNO
52%
24%
25%
54 52 2 0
04 Jul. 2017
PSN
PSNI
0 - 0
Glenavon
GLE
15%
18%
66%
54 69 15 0