Lumman vs Álftanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
71.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
SNA
1 - 2
LUM
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
LUM
3 - 5
KON
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
HOR
5 - 1
LUM
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2014 |
LUM
0 - 3
KAR
12%
17%
71%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2014 |
LUM
4 - 5
HVI
15%
19%
66%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Álftanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ALF
6 - 0
HOR
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
ALF
7 - 1
KON
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 10 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 1
KAR
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
HVI
1 - 3
ALF
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
SNA
1 - 1
ALF
13%
18%
70%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | -1 |