Lumbreras vs Calasparra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumbreras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
LUM
1 - 3
OLI
37%
26%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
UCA
0 - 0
LUM
80%
14%
7%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
LUM
0 - 2
LOR
12%
20%
68%
|
17 | 52 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
IND
2 - 1
LUM
85%
11%
4%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
LUM
1 - 0
MAZ
21%
25%
54%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Calasparra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CAL
1 - 2
AGU
11%
17%
72%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
OLI
2 - 2
CAL
52%
22%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
CAL
3 - 1
UCA
21%
24%
55%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
LOR
5 - 0
CAL
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
CAL
2 - 3
IND
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |