Luján vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 1
LUJ
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
LUJ
1 - 2
CAD
29%
28%
43%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
LAF
2 - 3
LUJ
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
LUJ
0 - 0
ARR
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ARM
0 - 0
LUJ
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
ALE
1 - 0
BER
43%
28%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
DAL
1 - 1
ALE
32%
30%
37%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
ALE
2 - 0
FEN
45%
27%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ALE
1 - 1
MID
38%
26%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SBA
4 - 2
ALE
33%
29%
38%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |