Luján vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
36.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
LUJ
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
LUJ
0 - 0
BAR
41%
29%
30%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
CAM
1 - 0
LUJ
37%
28%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
SMG
2 - 0
LUJ
32%
29%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
LUJ
1 - 0
LAM
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ALE
1 - 0
BER
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
SAC
0 - 0
ALE
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
ALE
3 - 0
VSC
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2008 |
ALE
5 - 0
FEN
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 0
ALE
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |