Luingnois vs Courcelles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
69.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
6º
16º
11º
32
10º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 53 |
4º
|
83% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
83% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
86% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 28 |
14º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
86% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luingnois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LER
1 - 1
LUI
83%
11%
6%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LUI
1 - 3
RFC
13%
17%
70%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FLE
0 - 0
LUI
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LUI
1 - 4
BEL
7%
12%
81%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
BAM
5 - 1
LUI
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Courcelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
COU
1 - 0
MON
31%
25%
44%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOL
2 - 0
COU
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
COU
0 - 2
SOL
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SOI
2 - 0
COU
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
COU
0 - 2
MER
20%
20%
59%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -2 |