CD Lugo vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
37.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 3
COX
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
RCF
3 - 0
LUG
16%
22%
62%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
OVI
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
COM
0 - 3
LUG
10%
19%
72%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
PAP
1 - 0
LUG
64%
21%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 0
PON
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 2
RSO
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 0
RCF
77%
17%
7%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
SPO
7 - 0
GIN
84%
13%
3%
|
74 | 24 | 50 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 0
SPB
80%
15%
5%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |