CD Lugo vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
DEP
1 - 1
LUG
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
LUG
0 - 1
FUE
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
PPJ
2 - 0
LUG
45%
28%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
LUG
3 - 3
RSI
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
1 - 1
LUG
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
RMC
4 - 0
CDO
81%
14%
5%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
VEC
3 - 2
RMC
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
RMC
0 - 1
RAY
59%
22%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
ULP
1 - 0
RMC
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
DEP
1 - 0
RMC
13%
21%
66%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | -1 |