CD Lugo vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
41.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
PON
1 - 3
LUG
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
LUG
1 - 2
ALC
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
COR
2 - 0
LUG
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALC
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
AVI
0 - 2
LUG
30%
28%
42%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
RMC
1 - 0
RIB
80%
13%
6%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
RMC
2 - 2
PON
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 0
RMC
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
RMC
0 - 0
COR
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 0
RMC
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |