CD Lugo vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
FCB
2 - 1
LUG
70%
18%
11%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
NUM
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 1
OVI
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
ARO
0 - 2
LUG
14%
23%
63%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
PON
2 - 1
LUG
15%
24%
61%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
NUM
4 - 2
RJA
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 2
EIB
39%
30%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 3
RJA
16%
26%
58%
|
61 | 18 | 43 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 1
RJA
41%
28%
32%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 3
GRA
19%
25%
57%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |