CD Lugo vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
SPO
1 - 1
LUG
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
LUG
5 - 0
NOI
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
SAN
2 - 1
LUG
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
LUG
4 - 1
VDB
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
SIE
2 - 1
LUG
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
AVI
6 - 0
ARO
57%
24%
19%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
NAV
2 - 1
AVI
45%
26%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
AVI
3 - 1
TUR
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
GIM
1 - 1
AVI
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
AVI
1 - 2
PON
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |