CD Lugo vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
CUL
0 - 2
LUG
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 1
MST
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
ROB
0 - 1
LUG
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 0
CAU
54%
25%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
ULP
1 - 2
LUG
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
AVI
0 - 0
SEG
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
PON
1 - 2
AVI
32%
27%
41%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
AVI
3 - 2
FUE
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
SSR
1 - 3
AVI
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
AVI
2 - 2
PPJ
41%
28%
32%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |