CD Lugo vs Rápido de Bouzas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-96%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
NAR
0 - 0
LUG
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
LUG
0 - 0
PON
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
BER
0 - 1
LUG
17%
26%
57%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
LUG
1 - 1
XOV
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
POR
0 - 1
LUG
17%
26%
58%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Rápido de Bouzas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
BOU
0 - 0
LAL
36%
27%
37%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
SCB
0 - 2
BOU
56%
25%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
BOU
2 - 2
POR
40%
28%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
COX
0 - 1
BOU
39%
26%
36%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
BOU
0 - 1
DEP
26%
27%
47%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |