CD Lugo vs Portonovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
LAL
1 - 1
LUG
39%
29%
32%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
LUG
2 - 0
VER
78%
16%
7%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
NEG
2 - 0
LUG
41%
28%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
LUG
1 - 0
LAR
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
ARO
0 - 0
LUG
26%
28%
46%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Portonovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
POR
2 - 1
VIL
38%
28%
35%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
POR
0 - 0
LAL
25%
28%
47%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
VER
2 - 2
POR
36%
28%
36%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
POR
0 - 1
NEG
29%
31%
41%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
LAR
2 - 1
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |