CD Lugo vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
AVI
1 - 0
LUG
53%
28%
19%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
LUG
0 - 0
CAU
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
ZAM
5 - 1
LUG
51%
29%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
LUG
1 - 0
LEM
57%
26%
18%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
RCF
5 - 1
LUG
68%
22%
11%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
PON
0 - 1
PON
26%
32%
42%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
GIM
6 - 1
PON
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
PON
0 - 0
SSC
41%
30%
30%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
CDG
4 - 2
PON
77%
16%
7%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
UPL
1 - 0
PON
69%
21%
10%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |