CD Lugo vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
SPO
2 - 0
LUG
63%
23%
14%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 0
MAL
32%
30%
38%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
UDL
1 - 0
LUG
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 3
ZAR
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
RAC
1 - 2
LUG
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
NUM
1 - 0
OVI
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
GIR
2 - 0
NUM
63%
23%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
FUE
2 - 0
NUM
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2020 |
NUM
1 - 2
CAD
29%
28%
42%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
MIR
2 - 1
NUM
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |