CD Lugo vs Noia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1980 |
CAC
2 - 1
LUG
65%
21%
15%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
LUG
1 - 0
TUR
60%
24%
17%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
CEL
2 - 0
LUG
57%
25%
18%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
LUG
2 - 0
GRA
64%
23%
14%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
ALO
4 - 1
LUG
64%
22%
14%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1980 |
NOI
2 - 1
SIE
50%
26%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
SMA
1 - 0
NOI
55%
25%
20%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
NOI
2 - 0
CAM
52%
28%
20%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
GIN
4 - 0
NOI
64%
22%
14%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
AVI
4 - 0
NOI
69%
20%
11%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |