CD Lugo vs Marino de Luanco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
SPB
2 - 1
LUG
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LUG
4 - 0
RAC
57%
23%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
DEP
2 - 3
LUG
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
LUG
2 - 1
PON
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 0
LUG
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Marino de Luanco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 2
CUL
23%
30%
47%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
VAL
2 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAR
28%
30%
42%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
ATH
0 - 0
MAR
66%
21%
14%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
RUN
5 - 0
MAR
69%
21%
10%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | -1 |