Segunda B Round 20

CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna analysis

CD Lugo Celta Fortuna
58 ELO 43
2.7% Tilt 4%
2155º General ELO ranking 1364º
71º Country ELO ranking 52º
ELO win probability
68.7%
CD Lugo
19.2%
Draw
12.2%
Celta Fortuna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
CD Lugo
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.2%
Win probability
Celta Fortuna
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Lugo
-15%
-6%
Celta Fortuna

ELO progression

CD Lugo
Celta Fortuna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Lugo
CD Lugo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2012
LUG
CD Lugo
1 - 1
Rayo Cantabria
RAC
72%
17%
11%
58 40 18 0
08 Jan. 2012
LUG
CD Lugo
2 - 2
CD Toledo
CDT
70%
20%
11%
58 47 11 0
18 Dec. 2011
LEG
Leganés
1 - 1
CD Lugo
LUG
32%
27%
41%
58 52 6 0
11 Dec. 2011
LUG
CD Lugo
4 - 0
UD Sanse
SSR
73%
18%
9%
58 42 16 0
04 Dec. 2011
RVB
Rayo Vallecano B
2 - 2
CD Lugo
LUG
31%
27%
42%
58 53 5 0

Matches

Celta Fortuna
Celta Fortuna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2012
CEL
Celta Fortuna
0 - 0
La Roda CF
ROD
47%
25%
29%
44 46 2 0
18 Dec. 2011
CDT
CD Toledo
2 - 0
Celta Fortuna
CEL
46%
25%
29%
45 46 1 -1
11 Dec. 2011
CEL
Celta Fortuna
1 - 1
Leganés
LEG
34%
26%
40%
45 52 7 0
04 Dec. 2011
SSR
UD Sanse
0 - 2
Celta Fortuna
CEL
43%
25%
32%
43 43 0 +2
27 Nov. 2011
CEL
Celta Fortuna
0 - 3
Rayo Vallecano B
RVB
40%
27%
33%
45 51 6 -2