CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 1
RAC
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 2
CDT
70%
20%
11%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LEG
1 - 1
LUG
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LUG
4 - 0
SSR
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
RVB
2 - 2
LUG
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 0
ROD
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CDT
2 - 0
CEL
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 1
LEG
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SSR
0 - 2
CEL
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 3
RVB
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -2 |