CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.2%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
19.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
22.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1993 |
PON
2 - 2
LUG
32%
32%
36%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
LUG
2 - 0
AVI
66%
23%
10%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
UPL
1 - 1
LUG
38%
31%
31%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
LUG
1 - 0
SLA
36%
30%
33%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
CDO
2 - 1
LUG
45%
30%
26%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1993 |
CEL
2 - 0
CUL
47%
29%
25%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
PON
3 - 4
CEL
70%
19%
10%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
CEL
1 - 1
TOM
47%
26%
27%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
SPB
5 - 1
CEL
71%
19%
10%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
CEL
1 - 4
AVI
39%
29%
32%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |