CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.6%
2-0
19.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.3%
3.3%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
COX
0 - 1
LUG
43%
27%
29%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
LUG
3 - 2
GRA
62%
23%
15%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
CEL
1 - 1
LUG
40%
29%
32%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
LUG
4 - 0
LEM
82%
15%
4%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
VIV
1 - 1
LUG
41%
30%
30%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
CEL
0 - 1
RCF
38%
29%
33%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
BOI
3 - 1
CEL
70%
19%
11%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 1
CEL
40%
29%
32%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
CEL
2 - 1
COX
38%
29%
34%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
GRA
3 - 0
CEL
78%
16%
6%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |