CD Lugo vs Alondras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
CER
2 - 1
LUG
29%
27%
44%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
LUG
5 - 1
CEL
71%
19%
11%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
LUG
4 - 0
OVA
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
COX
2 - 0
LUG
26%
27%
48%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -3 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
LUG
4 - 0
NAR
77%
16%
7%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Alondras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
ALO
2 - 1
OVA
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
COX
2 - 1
ALO
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ALO
1 - 3
NAR
63%
22%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
VIL
2 - 1
ALO
31%
27%
43%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ALO
1 - 2
ARO
67%
20%
13%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |