CD Lugo vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
UDL
4 - 1
LUG
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 2
GRA
28%
27%
44%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CCF
0 - 4
LUG
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
LUG
2 - 2
OSA
24%
28%
48%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
LUG
44%
29%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
ALM
0 - 1
OVI
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
CDT
1 - 3
ALM
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ALM
3 - 0
GIM
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
EXT
1 - 0
ALM
24%
28%
48%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
ALM
2 - 2
MAJ
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |