CD Lugo vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
AVI
0 - 2
LUG
30%
28%
42%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
LUG
2 - 1
CDO
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 3
LUG
46%
27%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
LUG
1 - 3
LAN
37%
29%
34%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
ULP
1 - 1
LUG
66%
21%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 0
RMC
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
PON
0 - 2
ALC
45%
25%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
ALC
2 - 2
ALC
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
COR
1 - 1
ALC
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
RIB
0 - 3
ALC
20%
25%
55%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |