CD Lugo vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 2
LUG
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
HUE
1 - 0
LUG
55%
26%
20%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 1
SDA
59%
25%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
RSO
1 - 1
LUG
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 0
BUR
56%
26%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 2
PON
23%
27%
49%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FUE
2 - 2
ALC
56%
26%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 2
CDT
22%
28%
51%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
BUR
3 - 1
ALC
45%
29%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
LEG
1 - 0
ALC
66%
23%
12%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |