CD Lugo vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CDT
0 - 0
LUG
54%
26%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ELC
2 - 1
LUG
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 1
MLL
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ZAR
0 - 2
LUG
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 2
OVI
37%
28%
36%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
GIM
1 - 3
ALC
37%
29%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
UDL
0 - 0
ALC
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 0
OVI
38%
29%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAD
0 - 2
ALC
51%
28%
22%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 0
DEP
23%
27%
51%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |