CD Lugo vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
UDL
3 - 0
LUG
62%
24%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LUG
1 - 0
VAD
23%
25%
52%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MIR
0 - 0
LUG
48%
28%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
FOZ
0 - 1
LUG
13%
24%
64%
|
68 | 7 | 61 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
BOU
0 - 0
LUG
14%
24%
62%
|
68 | 28 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 2
ALC
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 2
GIR
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ALB
2 - 3
ALC
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CDT
0 - 3
ALC
13%
21%
65%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
RMC
1 - 4
ALC
50%
23%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |