CD Lugo vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
LUG
0 - 1
ATB
43%
26%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
LEG
2 - 0
LUG
45%
28%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
LUG
3 - 0
FUE
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
TAL
2 - 1
LUG
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
LUG
3 - 2
RAC
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
ALC
2 - 0
GIM
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
PUE
1 - 2
ALC
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
ALC
1 - 0
CDO
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ULP
1 - 0
ALC
55%
27%
19%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 0
LAN
39%
27%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |