FC Lugano vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
5º
5º
47
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
BIE
2 - 0
LUG
16%
20%
64%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
YOB
1 - 0
LUG
45%
23%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCL
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
LUG
1 - 1
GCZ
58%
23%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
STG
2 - 1
LUG
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
ZUR
2 - 3
YOB
45%
25%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ZUR
2 - 1
YVE
53%
24%
24%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
SIO
2 - 1
ZUR
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ZUR
1 - 2
STG
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
WIN
0 - 2
ZUR
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |