FC Lugano vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
10º
3º
44
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 1
LUG
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 3
LUG
28%
24%
48%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 2
BAS
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
YOB
1 - 1
LUG
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCL
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ZUR
1 - 1
SER
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ZUR
2 - 2
YOB
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
GCZ
1 - 2
ZUR
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ZUR
1 - 1
WIN
67%
20%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 1
ZUR
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |