FC Lugano vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
FCL
1 - 0
LUG
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 0
LUG
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 4
ACM
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 2
LUG
11%
18%
71%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
LOC
0 - 4
LUG
4%
10%
86%
|
77 | 25 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
ZUR
2 - 1
THU
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
GCZ
0 - 2
ZUR
37%
25%
37%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
ZUR
1 - 2
SCH
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
ZUR
6 - 1
GOZ
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
SVS
2 - 1
ZUR
29%
24%
47%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |