FC Lugano vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1995 |
LUG
1 - 1
INT
29%
29%
43%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
FCL
1 - 1
LUG
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
LUG
1 - 3
SIO
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCA
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1995 |
LUG
4 - 0
JEU
85%
11%
4%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
SIO
2 - 2
ZUR
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
ZUR
2 - 1
SER
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
ZUR
1 - 3
NEX
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
LAU
3 - 0
ZUR
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BAS
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |