FC Lugano vs YF Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
LUG
0 - 4
FCV
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 2
LUG
35%
27%
39%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
LUG
0 - 0
LOC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2005 |
BAD
1 - 1
LUG
21%
24%
54%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
LUG
2 - 2
MEY
80%
15%
6%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
YF Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
YFJ
4 - 2
WIL
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
YFJ
2 - 2
LAC
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
BEL
0 - 0
YFJ
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2005 |
CON
0 - 1
YFJ
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
YVE
4 - 1
YFJ
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |