FC Lugano vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
OLD
1 - 2
LUG
17%
22%
62%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
LUG
21%
26%
53%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
LUG
5 - 2
SCH
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
LEM
0 - 0
LUG
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
LUG
1 - 2
WOH
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
DIE
0 - 4
WIL
8%
12%
80%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
5 - 2
SCH
47%
24%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
4 - 2
LEM
64%
21%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
WOH
2 - 1
WIL
27%
24%
49%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
SER
1 - 2
WIL
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |