FC Lugano vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2005 |
CON
2 - 1
LUG
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
WOH
3 - 1
LUG
25%
25%
49%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
LUG
1 - 1
KRI
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
BAU
2 - 1
LUG
16%
23%
61%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
LUG
3 - 2
YFJ
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
WIL
2 - 2
MEY
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
LAC
5 - 3
WIL
46%
25%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
BEL
0 - 0
WIL
46%
24%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
WIL
5 - 1
CON
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
WIL
1 - 2
FCL
39%
25%
37%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |