FC Lugano vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
STG
3 - 1
LUG
55%
23%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 0
KRI
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2020 |
LUG
2 - 4
HEI
36%
26%
39%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 3
ANT
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 0
YOB
10%
18%
72%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
NEX
1 - 2
SER
28%
24%
48%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
NEX
10 - 0
LAC
88%
9%
2%
|
68 | 29 | 39 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
THU
4 - 3
NEX
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
KRI
1 - 2
NEX
29%
22%
49%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
NEX
1 - 1
STA
59%
20%
21%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |