FC Lugano vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1989 |
GCZ
5 - 0
LUG
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1989 |
LUG
2 - 0
BEL
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
FCA
0 - 3
LUG
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
LUG
4 - 0
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
SIO
3 - 1
LUG
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1989 |
NEX
2 - 1
SIO
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
YOB
0 - 2
NEX
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
GCZ
1 - 0
NEX
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
NEX
3 - 4
STG
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
FCW
0 - 4
NEX
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |