FC Lugano vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
INT
5 - 0
LUG
82%
13%
5%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
SCH
1 - 2
LUG
9%
16%
75%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
LUG
5 - 1
CHI
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
BEL
1 - 1
LUG
13%
20%
67%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
ACS
0 - 9
LUG
2%
6%
92%
|
74 | 21 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
THU
0 - 1
FCL
44%
24%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
FCL
6 - 1
WOH
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCL
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
FCL
2 - 0
ZUR
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
FCL
1 - 2
YOB
19%
22%
59%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |