FC Lugano vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
SER
2 - 2
LUG
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
LUG
2 - 1
NEX
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
GCZ
2 - 0
LUG
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
GCZ
2 - 0
LUG
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1990 |
LUG
3 - 2
LAU
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
FCL
1 - 1
YOB
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
LAU
3 - 1
FCL
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
FCL
2 - 0
SIO
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
FCL
3 - 2
YOB
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCL
35%
27%
39%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |