Super League round 34

FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz analysis

FC Lugano FC Vaduz
77 ELO 73
7.3% Tilt 12.7%
280º General ELO ranking 1018º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
47.7%
FC Lugano
23.4%
Draw
28.9%
FC Vaduz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
FC Lugano
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.9%
Win probability
FC Vaduz
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Lugano
-15%
-2%
FC Vaduz

ELO progression

FC Lugano
FC Vaduz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 May. 2017
LUG
FC Lugano
3 - 2
St. Gallen
STG
48%
24%
28%
76 74 2 0
13 May. 2017
SIO
Sion
2 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
52%
24%
24%
76 80 4 0
07 May. 2017
LUG
FC Lugano
2 - 2
Basel
BAS
23%
23%
54%
76 85 9 0
30 Apr. 2017
GCZ
Grasshopper
0 - 1
FC Lugano
LUG
40%
26%
34%
76 76 0 0
23 Apr. 2017
YOB
Young Boys
1 - 2
FC Lugano
LUG
75%
15%
10%
75 84 9 +1

Matches

FC Vaduz
FC Vaduz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2017
FCV
FC Vaduz
1 - 0
Young Boys
YOB
20%
24%
56%
73 85 12 0
13 May. 2017
STG
St. Gallen
2 - 0
FC Vaduz
FCV
37%
25%
37%
74 73 1 -1
06 May. 2017
FCV
FC Vaduz
2 - 4
Grasshopper
GCZ
37%
26%
37%
74 75 1 0
29 Apr. 2017
LAU
Lausanne Sports
1 - 3
FC Vaduz
FCV
33%
25%
42%
74 71 3 0
22 Apr. 2017
BAS
Basel
2 - 2
FC Vaduz
FCV
69%
18%
12%
74 85 11 0