FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
YOB
1 - 2
LUG
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCL
25%
23%
52%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
LUG
4 - 0
SER
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 1
ZUR
31%
23%
47%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
LUG
3 - 0
STG
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
FCV
1 - 5
BAS
19%
21%
60%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
THU
1 - 1
FCV
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
FCV
2 - 2
MID
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
HOF
4 - 0
FCV
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
MID
3 - 0
FCV
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |