FC Lugano vs FC Koniz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LUG
4 - 1
GCZ
25%
23%
51%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
FCV
1 - 1
LUG
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ZUR
5 - 3
LUG
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 1
YOB
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
LUG
3 - 0
SIO
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FC Koniz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
FCK
3 - 5
FCZ
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
FCK
2 - 2
BRE
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BAS
4 - 1
FCK
26%
24%
51%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FCK
1 - 1
CHA
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
RSZ
1 - 2
FCK
12%
19%
70%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |