FC Lugano vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
BEL
0 - 0
LUG
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
LUG
2 - 1
THU
62%
21%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
DEL
0 - 3
LUG
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
NEX
1 - 4
LUG
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +3 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 2
DEL
63%
20%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
FCA
2 - 0
BAD
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCA
53%
24%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
FCA
0 - 0
ZUR
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
FCA
0 - 2
LUG
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |